Nonetheless, even with modern conveniences, a vast infrastructure, and various technologies, many Appalachian residents still rely on a traditional method to predict the severity of the short days and long nights of winter: the Woolly Worm. Media stations alert the public to approaching storms and frigid temperatures days in advance. However, whether individuals run outside or hunker down inside, knowing what weather to expect is important. Warm houses fill with company, and “comfort” foods like stews and chili simmer in large vessels. Locals gather around large bonfires or propane heaters to enjoy friends. In contrast, today, winter is welcomed by many.

Barns and houses were repaired, fuelwood was cut and gathered, and foodstuffs were harvested and stored. Residents of the rural, agrarian region spent the temperate months planning and preparing for the hardships severe and unpredictable weather could cause. Many basic necessities such as mobility, heat, and food were not taken for granted. Not too many generations ago, before snow plows, central heat, and supermarkets, winters in Appalachia were a much different experience than they are today. So if you want a headstart on the forecast for next winter’s weather, head for Banner Elk in October. Banner Elk in Avery County has been hosting a Woolly Worm Festival since 1978, and it claims 82% accuracy for its woolly weathermen. The darker the stripe, the colder and snowier the weather for that week.

According to woolly worm prognosticators, each stripe corresponds to one of the 13 weeks of winter, from December to March. The worms, otherwise known as the caterpillar larva of the Isabella tigermoth, wear 13 alternating black and brown stripes.

That’s what many people in Appalachia have done for generations. If you want a forecast of the coming winter’s weather, just ask a woolly worm. Creative Commons Image Obtained through Wikimedia

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